Saturday, November 06, 2004

100 Things About the Election, Part IV

The continuing series of things I noticed during and after Election Day that I considered important. In no particular order...

32. The left continues to spin Bush's victory as being based on antipathy to gay marriage. Instapundit has a pretty good roundup of articles and stories that illustrate that the decisive issue was terrorism. In particular, check out Paul Freedman in Slate...

More to the point, the morality gap didn't decide the election. Voters who cited moral issues as most important did give their votes overwhelmingly to Bush (80 percent to 18 percent), and states where voters saw moral issues as important were more likely to be red ones. But these differences were no greater in 2004 than in 2000. If you're trying to explain why the president's vote share in 2004 is bigger than his vote share in 2000, values don't help.

If the morality gap doesn't explain Bush's re-election, what does? A good part of the answer lies in the terrorism gap. Nationally, 49 percent of voters said they trusted Bush but not Kerry to handle terrorism; only 31 percent trusted Kerry but not Bush. This 18-point gap is particularly significant in that terrorism is strongly tied to vote choice: 99 percent of those who trusted only Kerry on the issue voted for him, and 97 percent of those who trusted only Bush voted for him. Terrorism was cited by 19 percent of voters as the most important issue, and these citizens gave their votes to the president by an even larger margin than morality voters: 86 percent for Bush, 14 percent for Kerry.

Hey, those are just the facts, folks.

33. I wonder if anyone in the Kerry campaign was still sticking around, waiting for the final result in Iowa.

34. I'm definitely engaging in some post-election gloating here, I know. But I've tried really hard to avoid it in face-to-face meetings with folks whom I know are Kerry supporters -- you know, the folks whop spent the end of last week with a dazed look on their face (in Philly, we call this the Eric Lindros face). But some of the moaning is fun to watch. Earlier this week, I listened to someone complain that no one they knew voted for Bush, which made me question my own existence for a few seconds. Seriously, I think I'm taking far too much pleasure in this. But I'll try and leave it here on the blog.

35. My folks stayed up until 3 AM to watch the election returns. Yes, now you know why I'm so screwed up.

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Arafat Has .... AIDS?

Great. More stories the mainstream media avoids...

Former White House speechwriter David Frum has joined the growing chorus of pundits, medical experts, and intelligence operatives who claim Yasser Arafat is likely suffering from AIDS.

Frum, a key figure in Republican politics and the man who coined the terms "axis of evil," writes in National Review Online that Arafat's undisclosed illness is well-known, but has been kept under wraps by the mainstream media.

"Speaking of media bias, here's a question you won't hear in our big papers or on network TV: Does Yasser Arafat have AIDS?" asks Frum, who also writes for the National Post.

"We know he has a blood disease that is depressing his immune system. We know that he has suddenly dropped considerable weight -- possibly as much as one-third of all his body weight. We know that he is suffering intermittent mental dysfunction. What does this sound like?"

Frum pointed to KGB evidence linking Arafat to homosexual activities between the 1960s and 1980s. He cites a 1987 book by Lt.-Gen. Ion Pacepa, the deputy chief of Romania's intelligence service under Communist dictator Nicolae Ceausescu. In his memoirs Red Horizons, Lt.-Gen. Pacepa claims Mr. Arafat's extensive KGB file revealed him as a voracious and profligate homosexual. He said Romanian agents had taped Mr. Arafat's sex sessions with his bodyguards in Bucharest in 1978.

Not that there's anything wrong with that. Well, except in Palestine, where they might frown on this sort of activity more than they would in, say, Ohio.

Friday, November 05, 2004

Well, Here We Go Again

Bill Conlin says the Phillies screwed up by picking Charlie Manuel over Jim Leyland. The Phillies screwed up? How is this news?

100 Things About the Election, Part III

The continuing series of things I noticed during and after Election Day that I considered important. In no particular order...

20. The exit poll story will continue to simmer. Someone asked me earlier today if I was worried when I saw the numbers. I wasn't -- they were too absurd for me to think they were realistic, and I also recalled the exit polls being way off in 2002 and 2000. Wonkette had this great line from Jon Stewart...
"We thought they were scientific. Turns out they just ask a few guys who are hanging around after they vote."

21. Fox News apparently beat CBS in the ratings on Election Night, according to O'Reilly last night. At this rate, Dan Rather may have to start sexually harassing producers to get ratings.

22. Wow. Some people just won't give up. Apparently this loop job thinks Kerry won.

23. I love this story. Seriously, the Dems are just figuring out Hollywood is a liability to electoral chances? Ben Affleck's been a liability to every movie he's been in for the last five years. Why would it be different in politics?

24. I have to confess, I was rooting against Arlen Specter on Tuesday night. And no, I don't feel bad about it. Neither does this guy, apparently.

25. This post by Andrew Sullivan is very interesting. I give Sullian a lot of credit for posting it, as it runs contrary to conventional wisdom. I don't know if the methodology is right, but it plays havoc with the idea that gay marriage decided the election...

Bush improved his share of the popular vote by 3.2% from 2000 to 2004 (47.9 in 2000, 51.1 in 2004). Now how did he do in the states which had anti-marriage ballot initiatives?

Arkansas +3.0%
Georgia +3.3%
Kentucky +3.1%
Michigan +1.8%
Mississippi +2.2%
Montana +0.7%
North Dakota +2.2%
Ohio +1.0%
Oklahoma +5.3%
Oregon +0.8%
Utah +4.2%

Only in two states (Utah and Oklahoma) did he gain a significantly higher vote share than he did nationwide. Maybe comparing to the national popular vote is misleading, so let's compare each of those states to a neighboring, politically-similar state which did not have an anti-marriage initiative on the ballot:

Missouri +2.9 (AR +3.0)
Florida +3.4 (GA +3.3)
Tennessee +5.7 (KY +3.1)
Wisconsin +1.5 (MI +1.8)
Alabama +6.0 (MS +2.2)
Idaho +1.2 (MT +0.7)
South Dakota -0.4 (ND +2.2)
Pennsylvania +2.0 (OH +1.0)
Texas +1.8 (OK +5.3)
Washington +1.2 (OR +0.8)
Wyoming +1.2 (UT +4.2)
Interesting, to say the least.

26. The Democrats are losing it. Check out Jane Smiley in Slate...

The election results reflect the decision of the right wing to cultivate and exploit ignorance in the citizenry. I suppose the good news is that 55 million Americans have evaded the ignorance-inducing machine. But 58 million have not. (Well, almost 58 million—my relatives are not ignorant, they are just greedy and full of classic Republican feelings of superiority.)

Ignorance and bloodlust have a long tradition in the United States, especially in the red states. There used to be a kind of hand-to-hand fight on the frontier called a "knock-down-drag-out," where any kind of gouging, biting, or maiming was considered fair. The ancestors of today's red-state voters used to stand around cheering and betting on these fights. When the forces of red and blue encountered one another head-on for the first time in Kansas Territory in 1856, the red forces from Missouri, who had been coveting Indian land across the Missouri River since 1820, entered Kansas and stole the territorial election. The red news media of the day made a practice of inflammatory lying—declaring that the blue folks had shot and killed red folks whom everyone knew were walking around. The worst civilian massacre in American history took place in Lawrence, Kan., in 1862—Quantrill's raid. The red forces, known then as the slave-power, pulled 265 unarmed men from their beds on a Sunday morning and slaughtered them in front of their wives and children. The error that progressives have consistently committed over the years is to underestimate the vitality of ignorance in America. Listen to what the red state citizens say about themselves, the songs they write, and the sermons they flock to. They know who they are—they are full of original sin and they have a taste for violence. The blue state citizens make the Rousseauvian mistake of thinking humans are essentially good, and so they never realize when they are about to be slugged from behind.
As the Kansan Redhead noted, I guess that I'm now a gun-toting redneck. That being said, it's better than being a bitter, whiny hack who thinks she's better and smarter than everyone else. Plus, she apparently got he Civil War history wrong, according to the Confederate Yankee. (hat tip: Instapundit)

27. And before you think Smiley's a solo whack job, check out E. J. Dionne. And Richard Cohen. Need I mention Maureen Dowd, the left-wing dishrag's resident prostitute of the DNC? And let's not forget Seymour Hersch. Or Eric Alterman. And best of all, there's Daily Kos, which apparently looks forward to America losing the war in Iraq so Bush will take the blame.

28. The Lord of Truth notes that the Redskins had a TD called back that would have won their game over the Packers and kept the Redskins Indicator accurate. Perhaps the ref was a Democrat.

29. What happened to the youth vote? Nothing. Look, they don't show up. Josh Marshall's right that they did show up in greater numbers, but not all that much greater. The youth vote is like a myth people keep chasing.

30. Fox's coverage on Election Night was made even better by the fact that Brit Hume rocks. Best anchor in the business, people.

31. As Taranto points out in Best of the Web, Kerry was apparently channelling Jon Lovitz's version of Mike Dukakis...
When President Bush's poll numbers surged in April after a press conference where his performance was derided by the press and the chattering classes, Democratic presidential candidate Sen. John Kerry was baffled, writes Newsweek Assistant Managing Editor Evan Thomas in an exclusive report in Newsweek's special election issue. "He said with a sigh to one top staffer, 'I can't believe I'm losing to this idiot.'"
Maybe Kerry should call Lorne Michaels for a job.

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How Do I Feel About This?

Arafat's somewhere between life and death, according to news reports...

There was still no official public diagnosis to explain the Palestinian leader's critical condition. Outside the French military hospital where the 75-year-old has been treated for the past week, well-wishers maintained a worried vigil.

Under the glare of television camera lights, a hospital spokesman who on Thursday denied reports that Arafat was dead re-emerged late Friday afternoon to issue a short update.

"The state of President Yasser Arafat's health has not worsened. It is considered stable since the previous health bulletin," Gen. Christian Estripeau said. He took no questions.

Earlier, Leila Shahid, the Palestinian envoy to France, strongly denied persistent French and Israeli media reports that Arafat was being kept alive on life support.

"I can assure you that there is no brain death," Shahid told French RTL radio. "He is in a coma. We don't know the type but it's a reversible coma. ... Today we can say that, given his condition and age, he is at a critical point between life and death."
The guy's a terrorist, nothing more, nothing less. I don't want to be cruel, but the world will be a better place without him. Of course, being somewhere between life and death pretty much describes Jerry Garcia for the last decade of his life.

The Washington Not-So-Fasts

This morning, news broke that the new name of the Washington baseball team would be the "Nationals". All well and good, until this afternoon, when this story indicated the team may not make it here.

Oh, well, at least there's the Redskins. Hee-hee.


Thursday, November 04, 2004

100 Things About the Election, Part II

The continuing series of things I noticed during and after Election Day that I considered important. In no particular order...

10. Four beautiful words came to me on Wednesday morning... Chief Justice Antonin Scalia. Not guaranteed, but at least it's possible.

11. I particularly enjoyed the crestfallen look Tom Brokaw had when NBC called Ohio for Bush. Speaking of which -- what kept the other networks from making calls, when the margin in Ohio was wider than the winning Kerry margin in PA? Between this mystery and the wide Florida margin that the networks kept calling "too close to call", I was convinced the media had decided that it could no longer hide its bias and just wanted to flaunt it.

12. Speaking of which... Peggy Noonan points out the big loser this election cycle...

But I do think the biggest loser was the mainstream media, the famous MSM, the initials that became popular in this election cycle. Every time the big networks and big broadsheet national newspapers tried to pull off a bit of pro-liberal mischief--CBS and the fabricated Bush National Guard documents, the New York Times and bombgate, CBS's "60 Minutes" attempting to coordinate the breaking of bombgate on the Sunday before the election--the yeomen of the blogosphere and AM radio and the Internet took them down. It was to me a great historical development in the history of politics in America. It was Agincourt. It was the yeomen of King Harry taking down the French aristocracy with new technology and rough guts. God bless the pajama-clad yeomen of America. Some day, when America is hit again, and lines go down, and media are hard to get, these bloggers and site runners and independent Internetters of all sorts will find a way to file, and get their word out, and it will be part of the saving of our country.
Damn straight. Someone get Dan Rather a hanky and a ticket to a rest home.

13. Then again, maybe Terry McAuliffe needs a new job. Has any party chairman ever been this bad? He's now peddling the idea that the Democratic Party is debt-free and has millions of new voters. That's great, but they keep losing! He reminds of John Cooper coaching Ohio State against Michigan. Maybe he's a Karl Rove plant.

14. The red-blue map by county, in case you were interested. That is an awful lot of red. Except for Vermont, which really explains Howard Deam in a nutshell.

15. I gotta give some major props to Pat Buchanan on Tuesday night. Dee Dee Myers and Ron Reagan kept trying to figure out ways Kerry could win Ohio while Chris Matthews stared blankly, and Pat kept pointing out the reality that Kerry was finished.

16. Letterman's Top Ten of Kerry Excuses contains one classic: Turns out voters think it's hot that Cheney has a lesbian daughter.

17. Dick Morris and Michael Barone speculate that those terrible exit polls were, well, fixed. I'm just ticked that I didn't gamble on the election right at that time.

18. Is it just me, or do the networks have an interest in making sure this is a horse race? Those ratings have to be great when it's a cliffhanger.

19. Man, the Redskins indicator failed. Is there anything the Skins can do right?


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The John Kerry Post of the Day

My latest discovery about my favorite cheese-eating surrendermonkey-looking Ketchup King cum Presidential candidate:

This is the final one, unless Senator Ketchup says something humorous at some point in the future (which he probably will). We'll kind of miss the walking malaprop known as Teresa. But at least we don't have to be frightened at the prospect of Kerry becoming President anymore. We're reasonably certain he won't be running in 2008, since he doesn't resemble William Jennings Bryan or even Adlai Stevenson. But give him plenty of credit today -- he gave a sincere and moving concession speech. I particularly liked this part...

You may not understand completely in what ways, but it is true when I say to you that you have taught me and you've tested me and you've lifted me up, and you made me stronger, I did my best to express my vision and my hopes for America. We worked hard, and we fought hard, and I wish that things had turned out a little differently.

But in an American election, there are no losers, because whether or not our candidates are successful, the next morning we all wake up as Americans. And that -- that is the greatest privilege and the most remarkable good fortune that can come to us on earth.

With that gift also comes obligation. We are required now to work together for the good of our country. In the days ahead, we must find common cause. We must join in common effort without remorse or recrimination, without anger or rancor. America is in need of unity and longing for a larger measure of compassion.

I hope President Bush will advance those values in the coming years. I pledge to do my part to try to bridge the partisan divide. I know this is a difficult time for my supporters, but I ask them, all of you, to join me in doing that.

Now, more than ever, with our soldiers in harm's way, we must stand together and succeed in Iraq and win the war on terror. I will also do everything in my power to ensure that my party, a proud Democratic Party, stands true to our best hopes and ideals.
The nation needs the Democratic Party of the past to re-emerge -- the same Democrats who once attracted a young Ronald Reagan, the same Democrats who, while advocating big government, understood and respected the values of the workingman they championed, the same Democrats who once counted in their ranks Scoop Jackson and John Kennedy and Zell Miller. We need that Democratic Party, not the modern-day left-wing psychos who barely disguise their contempt for American power and American ideals. There's folks within that party who can bring it around -- like Lieberman, Ford, perhaps young Mr. Obama -- and we wish them luck.

Senator Kerry couldn't do that in 2004, but perhaps he will help in the future. i tend to doubt it, based on his past record. but at least he had the good grace to concede,despite exhortations from folks like his running mate, who wanted to litigate again and gave a much less conciliatory speech.

But we'll let that go fow now. We have some celebrating to continue.

Nominate Him -- NOW

The Journal raises the prospect of nominating Miguel Estrada to the Supreme Court. I wholeheartedly agree, if only for the fact that I would forever be able to point him out and tell people, "He mocked me for wearing a terrible tie!"

Jokes aside, this is so right it's not even funny. Patterico expands on this, but let me add one thing -- Estrada's a true example of the American dream. His personal story is an inspiration for immigrants, and his accomplishments are worthy of praise, not the scorn shown by the Senate Dems once led by Daschle.

What Annoying Song is Stuck in My Head Today?

If I need to suffer with a song stuck in my head, why shouldn't you have to do the same? Sometimes they're good, most times they're bad... but no matter what, they make you suffer. So I like to share the suffering whenever it happens.

It was just a casual conversation at work, all about lesbians, toasters and whether my next-door neighbor's children would be taller than Emmanual Lewis. Then, one of the participants had to reference Billy Joel.

Dammit, this song always gets stuck in my head. Maybe it was all those years at a Catholic university that caused this song to get played two million times, but I think everyone knows the words. Without further ado...

Come out Virginia, don't let me wait
You Catholic girls start much too late, aw
But sooner or later it comes down to fate
I might as well be the one.
Well they showed you a statue, told you to pray
They built you a temple and locked you away, aw
But they never told you the price that you pay
For things that you might have done
Well only the good die young, that's what I said
Only the good die young, only the good die young.

You might'a heard I run with a dangerous crowd
We ain't too pretty, we ain't too proud
We might be laughing a bit too loud, aw
But that never hurt no one.
So come on Virginia, show me a sign
Send up a signal, I'll throw you the line
The stained-glass curtain you're hiding behind
Never lets in the sun
Darlin' only the good die young, woah woah woah woah woah woah
I tell you only the good die young, only the good die young

You got a nice white dress and a party on your confirmation
You got a brand new soul, mmm and a cross of gold
Well Virginia they didn't give you quite enough information
You didn't count on me, when you were counting on your rosary

Oh woah woah, and they say there's a heaven for those who'll wait
And some say it's better, but I say it ain't
I'd rather laugh with the sinners than cry with the saints
The sinners are much more fun
You know that only the good die young, woah baby
I tell you only the good die young, only the good die young

Said your mother told you all that I could give you was a reputation, aw
She never cared for me, but did she ever say a prayer for me?

Woah woah woah, come out, come out, Virginia don't let me wait
You Catholic girls start much too late
But sooner or later it comes down to fate
I might as well be the one
You know that only the good die young
You're welcome.

Don't Come Around Here, Eh?

I love this story, even if it's from Reuters...
Disgruntled Democrats seeking a safe Canadian haven after President Bush won Tuesday's election should not pack their bags just yet.

Canadian officials made clear on Wednesday that any U.S. citizens so fed up with Bush that they want to make a fresh start up north would have to stand in line like any other would-be immigrants -- a wait that can take up to a year.

"You just can't come into Canada and say 'I'm going to stay here'. In other words, there has to be an application. There has to be a reason why the person is coming to Canada," said immigration ministry spokeswoman Maria Iadinardi.

There are anywhere from 600,000 to a million Americans living in Canada, a country that leans more to the left than the United States and has traditionally favored the Democrats over the Republicans.

But recent statistics show a gradual decline in U.S. citizens coming to work in Canada, which has a creaking publicly funded healthcare system and relatively high levels of personal taxation.


The last sentance sums up why Canada may be a nice place to visit, but you wouldn't want to live there. But the fact that disillusioned leftists want to move there should be a clue as to what they'd like to have happen here.

And the best part is, even Canada doesn't want them. Wankers.

T.O. (and Johnny Goblin) Take On Ray Lewis

Kudos to T.O. for ripping on Ray Lewis, albeit unintentionally...

"You have a guy like Ray Lewis, who, I mean, I thought pretty much he was my friend. I mean, this is a guy, you know, double-murder case, he could have been in jail.

"Seems like the league embraces a guy like that. But I'm going out scoring touchdowns, having fun, but I'm the bad guy," he said.

Owens said Wednesday he received several "hate" e-mails through his Web site from people asking how he can embarrass Lewis by imitating Lewis' dance.

Owens and Lewis have been trading verbal barbs -- mostly through the media -- since the offseason, when Owens jilted Baltimore before getting traded from
San Francisco to Philadelphia.

Shaking his head in disgust, Owens said it's discouraging to get put in the mold "that I'm the worst guy that ever put on a uniform in the NFL."

"At times, it baffles me. I've never been in any off-field problems," he said.
I thought about putting forth my view on this, but Johnny Goblin summarized it far better than I could...

I couldnt agree more. The media is all over Ray Lewis like he is some kind of role model. The guy dances around in peoples faces all the time. I watched that jackass Stuart Scott get all in TO's face about him mockin Ray "why you showin disrespect to Ray" disrespect?

How about the disrespect Ray Lewis showed the justice system by lying under oath and oh yeah, being involved in a homocide.
For the record, I think Lewis only lied to the cops, not under oath. But otherwise, Johnny's got it completely right.

Wednesday, November 03, 2004

100 Things About the Election, Part I

Call it a series of things I noticed during and after Election Day that I considered important. In no particular order...

1. Voting is really cool. I spent nearly two hours in line, which was a personal record, although that's not saying much, since I've voted absentee most times. You get a chance to talk to all sorts of people with differing backgrounds and a wide variety of opinions. Business people, immigrants, scientists, doctors, college kids, old school hippies -- a great cross-section of America, all in one high school gymnasium. The woman in front of me in line advocated forcing people to vote, ala the Australian system. Maybe it's just me, but I don't want people to vote who don't feel like doing it. Heck, I'd like the people who do vote to get better educated.

2. By the way... being in a middle school gym causes some serious nostalgia. Not necessarily all good.

3. They wore all black on the Today Show this morning. Hee hee.

4. What exactly did Fallout Boy John Edwards bring to the Democratic ticket? North Carolina? Nope. Other Southern states? Nope. Increased votes from women? Nope. Maybe it was good hair. You had to love Dick Cheney's line about delivering Wyoming's 3 electoral votes to the Bush-Cheney ticket.

5. Kerry Spot notes that Rather thinks Karl Rove is running the blogosphere. Man, Rove is an evil genius. He's running that GOP GOTV (get-out-the-vote) effort, pulling the puppet strings on Bush, and he's hard-wired into my brain. I think it's time Rather join Walter Cronkite on the train for crazy people.

6. Word has it the Kerry folks were calling close friends last night at about five PM claiming they had it in the bag, and to expect 300+ electoral votes for Kerry. Maybe they need to stop snorting the exit-poll data.

7. Kevin Drum, one of the best liberal bloggers, makes an interesting point about the gay marriage issue and its impact:


Since George Bush ended up winning, the "most important event" title ought to be something that helped him, not something that helped John Kerry.

With that in mind, I'll plump for the
Massachusett's Supreme Court's decision to legalize gay marriage. The result was nearly a dozen initiatives across the country to ban gay marriage and a perfect wedge issue for Republicans. For the second election in a row, it looks like the president was chosen by the courts.
Hmmm. Gay marriage only became a wedge issue when the Massachusetts Supreme Court opted to force the issue to the forefront. I agree that plenty of evangelicals came out to the polls on the issue, but the fact that it made it onto ballots and achieved a clean sweep evidences some serious political miscalcualtion by the judges in question. Maybe the Dems appreciate the danger of judicial activism a little more.

8. The Swift Boat Vets finally have their parade today. God bless them, and God bless the fact that maybe we can finally put the-war-with-the-name-I-refuse-to-type away for good.

9. Ron Reagan, Jr. drove me nuts last night and throughout the election whenever he appeared on MSNBC. Since he's the son of my hero, I forgive him. Plus, we won, so ha-ha.

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FOUR MORE YEARS

Sorry. I've been dying to say that all day.

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Tuesday, November 02, 2004

The John Kerry Post of the Day

My latest discovery about my favorite cheese-eating surrendermonkey-looking Ketchup King cum Presidential candidate:

Please note that the the first round of exit polls broke Kerry's way this afternoon (and by the way, I think exit polls are full of crap, but here's Drudge with the numbers if you want them). Immediately after this news broke... the stock market tanked.

Yeah, they like him, too.

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Monday, November 01, 2004

The John Kerry Post of the Day

My latest discovery about my favorite cheese-eating surrendermonkey-looking Ketchup King cum Presidential candidate:

Bob Novak's headline says it all, but this paragraph is telling...

Kerry's focus last week on missing explosives and his neglect of traditional Democratic philosophy might imply this issue connected with the electorate and boosted him against President Bush. But there is no evidence Kerry's course helped. Rather, associates say it reflects Kerry's passion to convince fellow Americans he is qualified as commander-in-chief.

I contacted several Democrats who have criticized Kerry privately to me in the past. They shrugged off Kerry's obsession with the explosives. They confirmed that the senator is regarded inside the party as largely irrelevant to the election of 2004. This is an election about George W. Bush. Democratic leaders talk a lot about how their "ground game" -- getting out their voters -- will elect Kerry Tuesday, and seem uninterested in what he has to say.
Man, if he somehow wins, I wonder if they'll dump him in 2008. But I guess he'll always have his hair.

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The Dead Have Risen...

I see dead people... and they're voting...

An untold number of ballots from people who have died since casting them will be counted this year because of the haphazard and cumbersome process of enforcing laws in many states to weed out these votes.

With millions of voters taking advantage of new, in-person early voting in at least 30 states this year, it's even more likely that such "ghost" votes will be counted because, in most cases, those ballots are impossible to retrieve. Besides, it could be days or weeks after the election before local officials get word someone has died.

... The thousands of lawyers from both parties who will be descending on battleground states Tuesday looking for reasons to pick up a few votes could find the phenomenon of dead voters more than just an Election Day curiosity.

In Florida alone, more than 1.8 million people, many of them elderly and sick retirees, have cast absentee ballots or voted early in person in the past two weeks.

How many of those voters won't be alive on Election Day? Considering that an average of 455 voting-age people die in Florida every day, and that the 2000 presidential election was decided by a mere 537 votes, dead votes that slip through the cracks could become a meaningful bloc.

... The problem has arisen as an unintended consequence of laws meant to prevent a repeat of the 2000 presidential election debacle. Unlike traditional mail-in absentee ballots that are stored in labeled envelopes and can be pulled if someone dies, most of the new "in-person" early voting is being done on machines with no paper ballot to tell how those people voted.

So if a person in Florida casts an early ballot, then is run over by a truck right outside the polling place, there's no way to rescind the vote. But the vote of a Florida soldier who mails an absentee ballot from Iraq, then is killed in action, won't — or shouldn't — be counted.
That last line is pretty perverse. But I doubt dead voters will be deciding this election anywhere outside of Philadelphia and Cleveland. Of course, Kerry will win big with this block -- there are plenty of us wondering when his personality died.

What Annoying Song is Stuck in My Head Today?

If I need to suffer with a song stuck in my head, why shouldn't you have to do the same? Sometimes they're good, most times they're bad... but no matter what, they make you suffer. So I like to share the suffering whenever it happens.

Here's one that doesn't annoy me --but it will probably annoy a few of you. I think it was on a TV show when I was flipping channels the other night, and it's truly one of my favorite songs. So hopefully it stays in my head for a few days...

Ladies and gentlemen, Cheap Trick...

Another night slowly closes in
And I feel so lonely
Touching heat
breathing out of my skin
I pretend you still hold me
I'm going crazy
I'm loosing sleep
Our magic fire
I'm in way to deep, over you
I can't believe your gone
You were the first
You'll be the last

Where ever you go
I'll be with you
Whatever you want
I'd give it to you
Whenever you need someone
To lay your heart and head upon
Remember after the fire
After all the rain
I will be the flame
You're welcome.

In Case You Were Wondering...

I know the Eagles are 7-0. It's also very cool when the top two teams in football both play in PA. I'll blog about this later this week, when I'll have the chance to see the Birds atop every pundit's Power Rankings list.

The John Kerry Post of the Day

My latest discovery about my favorite cheese-eating surrendermonkey-looking Ketchup King cum Presidential candidate:

The good folks at CrushKerry.com put up this link to a great little parody. Hysterical might be an understatement.

Meanwhile, Kerry's stepson, Chris Heinz, is making me think that John Heinz may be rolling over in his grave...
John Kerry's stepson, Chris Heinz, 31, displayed his mother Teresa's famous lack of rhetorical restraint at a recent campaign event with a group of Wharton students. Philadelphia magazine reports: "Heinz accused Kerry's opponents - 'our enemies' - of making the race dirty. 'We didn't start out with negative ads calling George Bush a cokehead,' he said, before adding, 'I'll do it now.' Asked later about it, Heinz said, 'I have no evidence. He never sold me anything.'" Heinz also reminded writer Sasha Issenberg of Pat Buchanan by saying, "One of the things I've noticed is the Israel lobby - the treatment of Israel as the 51st state, sort of a swing state."

I'm betting Chris Heinz seeks office in PA in the future. After seeing these quotes, I plan to help defeat him.

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I'm Finally Going...

... to see Team America: World Police tonight. Expect a full breakdown of that before an election breakdown.

The Endorsement, Part III

Once more, with feeling...

Integrity, Character and Leadership

I wish this election came down to this point alone. Because in the end, I think George W. Bush destroys John Kerry in this category.

Bush has his flaws. He has an arrogant swagger to him, but it's not the arrogance that comes with inherited wealth and being born into a rich and famous family. It's an arrogance that comes with confidence, in believing in himself and believing in the things he says. He's also less adept with words than most politicians. Unlike those who are offended by this, I think Bush is damn smart, and just has trouble articulating his thoughts. I also think there's a regional or elitist bias among people who think his lack of dexterity with words is indicative of a lower I.Q.

I think the critique that Bush lied to get us into a war in Iraq is ridiculous. It doesn't come close to matching the facts in any way. He also didn't mislead us into the war -- if anything, the warnings we received about how difficult this war would be far outweigh the prepatory warnings we received before any other war America's ever entered into.

I think Bush's character is demonstrated by his personal life. He's cleaned up his problems from his youth, and he's a better man for it. I think a person's choice of spouse says a lot about the person. I don't know of one person who says a single bad word about Laura Bush.

I think Bush connects with people face-to-face very well for a simple reason -- his decency and sincerity are real. He's not a complex enough person to fake enthusiasm for people. He gets tired and shows it, which most politicians don't do. But he's essentially a good person. And it shows.

I have my doubts about John Kerry's character, to say the least. The Swift Boat saga is more telling for the simple fact that Kerry won't apologize for what he did; in fact, his half-assed semi-apologies are worse than issuing no apology at all. At least if he outright refused to apologize, we would have a man willing to stand up for his convictions. Instead, we have a man who slandered the people with whom he served for political advanatage, and now refuses to acknowledge it.

I think Bush has demonstrated leadership in his four years in office and before that as Governor of Texas. I think Kerry has been in the Senate for 20 years and exhibited little in the way of leadership. And I think Kerry lacks integrity, as demonstrated by his willingness to vote against funding the troops after voting for the Iraq War. I've said it to people at least a thousand times -- if he had reversed those two votes, it would have been defensible. What he did is indefensible, and unworthy of the highest office in the land. Let's do the right ting, and re-elect George W. Bush.

God Bless you all, and God Bless the United States of America.

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The Endorsement, Part II

Without further ado... I don't have as much time on this one, but I'll try to boil it down rather simply.

Foreign Policy

If we elect John Kerry, it won't be pretty.

I personally believe that Kerry's posturing, handwringing and tendency to waffle at the slightest setback indicate that we will have two things -- someone who will micro-manage the war in Iraq to the point that nothing gets done, and a leader who will look to bail out of the country at the first opportunity he gets, partly in order to satisfy his base, and partly because he doesn't believe in the cause. I think John Kerry as President will find a way to achieve failure in Iraq. You may not think President Bush's plan to democratize Iraq will succeed, but it deserves a fair chance. A similar bold initiative is working in Afghanistan. I don't think John Kerry will give it the opportunity to succeed in Iraq. And we need to succeed in Iraq. Has Bush made mistakes in Iraq? Yes. Will Kerry correct them? No.

As for the War on Terror, I don't think Kerry wants to fight it in the same way I do. I think the other side wants to kill us. I say we kill them first. Bush agrees with this and is willing to fight. Kerry at his core thinks differently. He believes in multi-national groups working to track down, capture and prosecute terrorists. I think this model reveals a mindset that pre-dates 9/11 and is dead wrong.

Bush's leadership in the days following 9/11 was transendent. It was not, as some have claimed, something every President would have achieved. To be fair to the Democrats, Clinton might have achieved it. But Al Gore would not have done so. And John Kerry certainly would not have done so. It takes a lot to rally a nation to war. It is very difficult to do so when you're not willing to invest in the war personally. Kerry's not willing.

Kerry's instincts were wrong in the Cold War. He opposed Reagan's policies, policies which ended the Cold War early. He opposed the first Gulf War, for seemingly no reason that he's willing to defend. He only supported the current war in Iraq when it was politically expedient. I don't trust his instincts and I don't trust him to make the right choices, because he's been wrong so often. And because he's so willing to sell out his personal beliefs for politcal expedience, I don't think allies will trust him either. Clinton could lie and get away with it because he had personal charm. Kerry lacks personal charm, unless you're a rich heiress.

I think the best way to summarize Kerry's approach to the War on Terror is to look at choice for VP. Kerry could have chosen a number of Democrats with solid credentials on foreign policy and fighting the Terror War. Bill Richardson is a former U.N. Ambassador and a popular Hispanic governor of New Mexico. Bob Kerrey is a fellow veteran, a former governor, served in the Senate for many years and served on the 9/11 Commission. Wesley Clark is a retired general with countless accolades (not that I trust him in the least). Bob Graham, weird though he may be, had plenty of experience on intelligence issues in the Senate, not to mention executive experience in Florida. Joe Lieberman was out there. So was Dick Gephardt. Michael Dukakis in 1988 chose Lloyd Bentsen. Why couldn't Kerry choose Sam Nunn?

Instead, Kerry chose John Edwards. A one-term Senator from North Carolina whose greatest asset is the war chest of donations he brings from the trial lawyers. He can't even carry his home state in this election. And are you really comfortable with him as the man who would be hunting down Al Qaeada?

In the end, George Bush is the clear choice on national security. He's adapted in office from someone who opposed the idea of nation-building to someone who sees it as a necessity. He'd be cruising to re-election on the strength of his leadership post-9/11 had he chosen to take the easy way out in Iraq. He chose the hard way, in recognition of the fact that we would have to fight this battle one day, and it's better to fight it on our terms today.

For Homeland Security, I reiterate what I said on Friday, following the release of the bin Laden tape. In Spain, Osama used bombs to terrify the populace. Here, he used a videotape to try and accomplish the same thing. Anyone think he wouldn't try to bomb us if he could? Tom Ridge and his color-coded alerts may look silly -- but he and the Bush Administration have done a great job.

They've earned another four years.

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The Endorsement, Part I

Okay, time for the endorsement.

I’m endorsing John Kerry.

Just kidding.

I might endorse John Kerry for President, if I wanted to find out what it was really like to live through four years of Jimmy Carter. I was only six years old when Carter’s single term as President ended, and the memories I have of four years of malaise are rather limited – about all that I recall at the time was that Carter liked peanuts and I hated peanuts, while Reagan loved jellybeans. Pretty simple choice, if you were asking me. Even though Billy Carter must have been a godsend for comedians.

But John Kerry doesn’t even offer us the opportunity to mock a humorous brother. So far as I can see, there are no redeeming qualities to recommend him. Well, maybe that Vietnam thing… except having read Kerry’s speeches after he returned from the war, not to mention his pathological need to reference Vietnam’s effect on every decision he makes, I’ve decided that I frankly don’t care about anything having to do with Vietnam anymore. In fact, America would be a far better place if we collectively decided that anyone who brought up Vietnam in any context outside cuisine would be subjected to electroshock therapy.

But let’s get to the meat of all this. Whom should we elect?

If you’ve read this blog for more that two minutes, it’s pretty easy to see that I support George W. Bush. A better question might be why. I have plenty of friends who have asserted that their choices in this election stink – in an interesting parallel, many of them felt the same way in 2000. I haven’t felt that way in either election – to me, the choice has been clear each time. The choice has never been ideal, but I doubt it ever will be, unless I’m running myself, and I’m pretty sure those four years in college contain too many stories that would disqualify me. And if not, law school would finish the job.

Below, I’ve outlined the three areas I think are important in electing a President. Two are policy-related: Domestic Policy and Foreign Policy. The third category, which I’ll dub ICL (Integrity, Character and Leadership) may be the most important thing a person is looking for when electing a President, or it may be completely irrelevant. On the first two categories, I can make an argument for Geroge W. Bush, but your own policy views will color whether you find him the acceptable choice. In the ICL category, I think Bush is the clear choice over Senator Kerry. Everything each of them has done in his public life illustrates that George W. Bush is the better man. And I’d like to think that matters in this choice. But we’ll get to that in a moment.

Domestic policy will be covered in this post. Part II will address foreign policy. Part III will address ICL.

Domestic Policy

Let’s make this basic – the key domestic issues are taxes, spending, jobs, health care, trade, social security, education, tort reform, judicial selection and a host of social issues, including gay marriage, abortion rights, and stem-cell research. On almost all fronts, I prefer Bush.

Let’s start with taxes. Bush wants to make sure the tax cuts that are in place now will remain in place in the future. Kerry doesn’t give a rat’s sphincter whether the tax cuts remain in place, and he wants to raise taxes on a group he defines as rich, while promising a middle-class tax cut. Bush has promised to undertake efforts to fix the system and reform it in a fundamental manner. Kerry has said nothing of substance. Taking a look at their records, Bush has cut taxes with more vigor than any President in my memory, including Reagan. In twenty years in the Senate, Kerry has voted for tax increases seemingly every other week. I happen to believe tax cuts strengthen the economy and stimulate economic activity, and that our current tax structure is unfair and far too burdensome. This one’s simple. Advantage: W.

Spending is another category entirely. Bush has allowed Congress to spend like a group of drunken sailors, and he deserves to be roasted for not vetoing the pork-laden agriculture bill while setting up a new prescription drug entitlement. I will not defend Bush’s record on spending, save for the fact that I have no quarrel with No Child Left Behind, which regard as a signature achievement. But here’s what amazing: Kerry would be worse. His Senate voting record is an abomination for anyone who prefers fiscal restraint. The argument that divided government will produce less spending is close to insane – a GOP House and Senate may willingly do battle with Kerry on spending, but only on where to spend money, not whether to spend it. In the end, the solution to the problem of government spending will be entitlement reform, not temporary cuts in government programs.

The two biggest programs requiring reform are Social Security and Medicare. Kerry wants to expand the latter and do nothing about the former. Bush has bravely addressed the issue of Social Security reform in two consecutive elections, and has put the issue private accounts on the front burner. Kerry’s expensive new health care proposal, while it has little chance of passing the House and Senate, will simply delay the real free-market solutions put forth by Bush, such as the expansion of Health Savings Accounts. I believe in free-market reforms that will keep our health care system the envy of the world – every time one of these idiots points to Canada’s nationalized health care system, I think they forget that people opt to live in the U.S. rather than Canada for many reasons, and one of them is that nationalized health care stinks. Kerry would move us closer to nationalized health care. Bush would move us toward the free market and the fundamental reform of the system, where the costs are borne by the consumer and seen by the consumer, rather than concealed within the paycheck. As for Social Security – we all know it needs to be fixed. Bush is proposing a solution with significant short–term costs, but one which provides massive long-term benefits. Kerry is proposing nothing. Sounds like his twenty years in the Senate.

As for jobs, here’s an issue that’s intimately bound up in trade. I’m a free trade enthusiast, so I have my issues with President Bush’s decision to impose tariffs on steel, but it’s the only true blight on a pretty good record… and in comparison to Kerry’s campaign rhetoric about “Benedict Arnold CEOs” and the protectionist zeal of his supporters, Bush’s tariffs look tame. Kerry is caught in a fundamental paradox when he brings up jobs. He constantly derides the jobs created during the last eighteen months as lower-paying jobs, yet he promises to keep more jobs from going overseas. Are the vast majority of jobs that go overseas high-paying or low-paying? Since the answer is the latter, Kerry is basically saying he wants to bring more low-paying jobs home. Yeah, that would solve the problem.

I don’t think government creates jobs – it creates the conditions that will create jobs. That’s what Bush has done, but hiring has not jumped with economic growth, due in part to the increase in productivity of the existing workforce. Still, unemployment is at the same level it was in 1996, when Clinton ran for re-election. Seems odd to blast Bush for losing jobs in such a situation. But what do I know?

Education is a slam dunk for Bush. Kerry's promising more spending while kissing the ring of the teachers' unions. With Bush, we have a legitimate shot at advancing vouchers, an idea whose time has come.

Good luck with tort reform with John Edwards in the #2 seat. And if you really want to cut costs in health care and help keep business here, tort reform is a huge issue.

If John Kerry appoints the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court, there's a good chance it could be Hillary Clinton. That alone is enough to terrify me on judges.

As for the social issues... I actually agree with John Kerry on stem-cell research, but he's chosen to demagogue the issue beyond belief. If Dan Quayle had told voters that George Bush Sr. would make crippled people walk when he was elected, the press would have destroyed him. Edwards makes the claim that Christopher Reeve would be able to get out of his wheelchair and walk under a President Kerry, and people forget about it as meaningless. Gay marriage means little to me as an issue -- I think it should be left up to the states -- and by that I mean state legislatures.

And I'm pro-life, whereas Kerry is not. I could respect his position, if he only had the guts to stand up and take credit for that belief. He professes to believe that life begins at conception, so as not to offend his Church and many other Catholic, yet refuses to fight for the unborn. He's either a moral monster or a disingenuous bastard. I'll give him the benefit of the doubt and say it's the latter.

Parts II and III are soon to come.

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