Tuesday, November 09, 2010

Apparently, It Takes Awhile To Count Votes From The Dead

Among the GOP's wins last Tuesday was the Senate seat that once belonged to Barack Obama back when he was an inexperienced junior Senator, lo so many years ago.  Wait... it was only two years ago?

Seriously, the election in Illinois was actually two elections -- one to fill the remaining month-plus of Obama's term (ineptly manned by Roland Burris for the past 21 months or so) and then to take his Senate seat permenently.  This meant the winner would be able to serve immediately in the upcoming lame-duck situation... or would have been, if Illinois could certify its resuts.

Best part is that this means the state government is either irredeemably corrupt, or incompetent.  Or more likely both.

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Monday, November 08, 2010

The Thrill Is Gone

It's such a shame when relationships grow stale.  But it was bound to happen after so many years of married bliss.... wait, he's only been President for two years?  Well, we know 50% of marriages end in divorce...
He came across as a young man in a grown-up's game—impressive but not presidential. A politician but not a leader, managing American policy at home and American power abroad with disturbing amateurishness. Indeed, there was a growing perception of the inability to run the machinery of government and to find the right people to manage it. A man who was once seen as a talented and even charismatic rhetorician is now seen as lacking real experience or even the ability to stop America's decline. "Yes we can," he once said, but now America asks, "Can he?"


The last two years have exposed to the public the risk that came with voting an inexperienced politician into office at a time when there was a crisis in America's economy, as the nation contended with a financial freeze, a painful recession, and two wars. The Democrats were simply not aggressive enough or focused enough in confronting the profound economic crisis represented by millions of ordinary Americans whose main concern was the lack of jobs.


Jobs have long represented the stairway to upward mobility in America, and the anxiety over joblessness became the dominant concern at a time when financial security based on home equity and pensions was dramatically eroding. No great speech is going to change the fundamental fact that millions of people are either jobless or underemployed at a time when only a quarter of the American population describes the job market as good.
Zuckerman is a liberal, so he's forgiven for buying the BS that was sold in 2008.  But he isn't the only one who's feeling a bit pained, as erstwhile conservatives who once admired this President are now coming down on him like a load of bricks. Peggy Noonan eviscerates the President...
On Wednesday, President Obama gave a news conference to share his thoughts. Viewers would have found it disappointing if there had been any viewers. The president is speaking, in effect, to an empty room. From my notes five minutes in: "This wet blanket, this occupier of the least interesting corner of the faculty lounge, this joy-free zone, this inert gas." By the end I was certain he will never produce a successful stimulus because he is a human depression.


Actually I thought the worst thing you can say about a president: He won't even make a good former president.


His detachment is so great, it is even from himself. As he spoke, he seemed to be narrating from a remove. It was like hearing the audiobook of Volume I of his presidential memoirs. "Obama was frustrated. He honestly didn't understand what the country was doing. It was as if they had compulsive hand-washing disorder. In '08 they washed off Bush. Now they're washing off Obama. There he is, swirling down the drain! It's all too dramatic, too polar. The morning after the election it occurred to him: maybe he should take strong action. Maybe he should fire America! They did well in 2008, but since then they've been slipping. They weren't giving him the followership he needed. But that wouldn't work, they'd only complain. He had to keep his cool. His aides kept telling him, 'Show humility.' But they never told him what humility looked like. What was he supposed to do, burst into tears and say hit me? Not knowing how to feel humility or therefore show humility he decided to announce humility: He found the election 'humbling,' he said."
Thanks, Peggy. To quote Adam Sandler in The Wedding Singer, "Once again, things that could've been brought to my attention YESTERDAY!" In fact Noonan does a nice job warning the Tea Party and its GOP adherents about the dangers of candidates whom the broader electorate might view as unqualified, with a big arrow pointing to Sarah Palin.

Well, where the hell was that warning in 2008?

Listen, on the issue of Sarah Palin, there are all sorts of issues related to her and 2012 and whether she should be the GOP nominee or not.  But going back to 2008, I'm still appalled by people who believed that Obama was qualified and able to handle the job of President, yet were distressed by the prospect that Palin might someday ascend to the job were something to happen to John McCain.

I think it's perfectly reasonable to conclude that Obama might have the chops to handle the job, but I would have enjoyed someone providing some evidence to back up that conclusion.  Recall that part of the case for excusing his lack of executive experience was the inane claim that he was doing a fine job helming a Presidential campaign.  Yes, I know he graduated from Harvard Law School (based on the author of this blog, that's not exactly an impressive achievement), was a community organizer (so are Boy Scouts), state Senator (good prep work for Illinois politics), and served in the U.S. Senate for less than one term.  But no one worried that the guy they were electing to the office of President had arguably the same level of experience and qualifications (if not less) than the VP candidate on the other ticket that everyone derided.  Hell, part of the reason Joe Biden was viewed as a good pick for the ticket was that he lent the ticket gravitas.  What does it say when you're bringing Joe Biden in to impress people that you're up to a job?

No, the real reason President Obama passed the test with Washington's elite is that he was one of them, whereas Palin was not.  He backed that up with much of the rest of America by giving pretty speeches and coming along at the right time.  And now we're paying the price for treating the 2008 Presidential election with the same level of careful examination as high school kids do when picking a yearbook editor.

By the way, on Noonan's last point... I don't watch Mad Men, despite hearty recommondations that I do so from people I trust.  But I think I understand what Instapundit and others are saying when they refer to this as the "Don Draper Presidency."  I'm just wondering how this show will end.

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Yes, But Will They Listen?

Frank Luntz accurately summarizes the electorate's mood following the midterm elections...
First, a warning to both sides. Republicans, for their part, must realize that the voters have given them a reprieve, not an endorsement. In my polling last week, GOP voters agreed with this statement by more than two to one: "I am willing to give the Republicans another chance, but if they mess up again, I'll vote them out again, too." That's hardly a cause for GOP celebration.


Similarly, Democrats must grasp that their defeats were not about deficient personalities or insufficient communication, but about their philosophy and substance. Roughly two out of three voters agreed with the statements that President Obama "has failed to deliver hope and change" and that in the midst of an economic crisis, Democrats "had their priorities wrong."


The post-midterm realities are simple: If the Republicans don't deliver on their promises, they're finished. If the Democrats continue doing what they're doing, they're finished.
Of course, this being Washinton, it's likely both parties ignore the warnings. The Democrats have already given off signs that they think the election was merely a referendum on the economy and/or the result of poor messaging by them. The GOP thus far is at least making the right noises, but they're capable of forgetting why they were sent to D.C. Hopefully, the Tea Party continues to hold their feet to the fire.

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Sunday, November 07, 2010

We Were The Underpants Gnomes We Were Waiting For

Megan McArdle comes up with my favorite theory for describing the Democrats' ill-fated decision to pass nationalized health care and why they believed it wouldn't hurt them at the polls...

How much did health care matter in Tuesday's results?  A lot, argues Eric McGhee; in fact, it may have helped cost Democrats control of the House...

I'm still sort of awed that Democrats managed to convince themselves otherwise.  It was the Underpants Gnome theory of politics:

1.  Pass huge, unpopular bill
2.  ???
3.  Bounce in the polls

None of the arguments ever made any sense, and at the time, I assumed that the people advancing them were simply spinning for the media.  But as time wore on, it became clear that at least some of them actually believed it, including people who voted yes on the bill and then went to their doom. 
Those who seem to think that the election was decided simply by the poor state of the economy are ignoring reality.  The 60+ seat wipeout in the House represents more than just voter frustration with poor economic performance.  It also represents voter anger and discontent with a Congress that ignored thier wishes and pissed on their constiuents by passing a huge new health care entitlement.

It's important to note that Democrats still seem hell-bent on defending the bill, but they almost always fall back on defending the "popular provisions" of the bill, such as the ban on pre-existing conditions and the ability of parents to keep their kids on their insurance until they are 26.  They cannot defend the rest of the legislation amongst mixed company, because when they try, they get challenged on less-than-credible claims like the assertion that the bill will trim the budget deficit.  I don't even think many Democrats believes that claim. 

Mickey Kaus makes the related point that the sales pitch for health care was one guaranteed to lose senior votes, because of the realistic concern about death panels.  This may provide some comfort to Dems who truly believe that the problem with health care was the "messaging" and also have them arguing that Obama and Co. cost themselves votes by being honest in selling the program.  This would ignore two basic points: 

1.  If messaging was the problem, then the bill really would have become more popular after passage (it has not) and Pelosi's stupid claim that they had to pass the bill so we could find out what was in it might actually make some sense.

2.  Any honesty in the claims made about the health care bill is effectively offset by the Dems' gaming of the CBO score and the procedural shenanigans they engaged in to pass the bill.

So where does that leave us?  Well, back to the gnomes...




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Friday, November 05, 2010

Not Liking It One Bit

Whne Jim Carville starts calling for Treasury Secretary Geithner's job, perhaps Dem strategists should listen.  And maybe there's a grain of truth people should recognize in this statement by Chris Lehane...

With Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton, says Chris Lehane, a veteran of the Clinton White House, "people got what they were about. People knew what Reagan stood for, people knew what Clinton stood for. The big challenge for this particular president is, what is our party's theory of the case?"


Obama, Lehane says, "ran an aspirational campaign that was about him and the idea of him. But there wasn't a specific theory of where he was going to take the country. If you were a centrist, if you were a progressive, you projected that he was the kind of president you wanted."
Bingo -- that last point nailed it.

As far back as 2007, I told friends on both sides of the aisle that Obama would win the election easily if he won the primary, and that the Dems would be smart to nominate him if they wanted to win. By the time he got the nomination, I had an additional point -- that there was no way he could succeed as President. The coalition he assembled was too diverse, particulary when it came to ideology. Too many people looked at Barack Obama and saw what they wanted him to be politically, rather than what he was. Many of those folks now see what he is politically, and it's very different. And they don't like it.

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Please, Nancy, Stick Around As Our Punching Bag

Word has it that Nancy Pelosi wants to be House Minority Leader.  She has a surprising source of support.

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Sunday, October 31, 2010

To Quote Mr. Burns, I Suspect You Need More Practice Working Your Telephone Machine

Apparently, our news media is unable to figure out how to hang up their Iphones.  Let me raise a glass to Steve Jobs, for devising one more method by which idiot reporters reveal their bias.  Meanwhile, I'm guessing the news director at the station is going to be stuck answering some unpleasant questions.  Maybe NPR execs can give them some pointers on conducting firings.

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That Bastard Jefferson Voted For Obamacare!

Give Reason some credit for digging up the truth about political discourse amongst our Founding Fathers.



You think that was bad, I can only imagine what the ads against Aaron Burr would have been like. Murderous, villianous, lying, weasely, subhuman, slimy... and those were his good attributes.

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Friday, October 29, 2010

October Non-Surprise

I'm shocked, shocked that Charlie Crist, Bill Clinton, and the White House were apparently working on a backroom deal to get Kendrick Meek to drop out of the Florida Senate race and endorse Crist so as to beat Marco Rubio...
Bill Clinton sought to persuade Rep. Kendrick Meek to drop out of the race for Senate during a trip to Florida last week — and nearly succeeded.


Meek agreed — twice — to drop out and endorse Gov. Charlie Crist’s independent bid in a last-ditch effort to stop Marco Rubio, the Republican nominee who stands on the cusp of national stardom.


...Crist also confirmed the planned scenario Thursday night, telling MSNBC's Keith Olbermann: "I had numerous phone calls with people very close to President Clinton."


...Clinton campaigned with Meek in Florida on Oct. 19 and 20, and thought he had won Meek over. But as the week wore on, Meek lost his enthusiasm for the arrangement, spurred in part, a third Democratic source said, by his wife’s belief that he could still win the race. Clinton spoke with Meek again at week’s end, three Democrats said, and again Meek said he would drop out.


The Crist, Meek and Clinton camps even set a date for an endorsement rally: the following Tuesday, Oct. 26. Meek was to give Crist his blessing and explain to his disappointed supporters — many of whom deeply distrust the governor, who was elected as a Republican — that their votes could save the Senate for the Democrats and save America from the rise of Rubio, who is viewed both as a hard-line conservative and a potential national figure.
Meek is denying this strenuously, while Crist is saying he talked to the White House about it (although in classic weasely fashion, the Orange Goblin won't tell anyone who he spoke with at the White House).  A fee thoughts...

1.  Love Instapundit's headline that he took from Drudge.

2.  In a similar vein, Michael Steele gets to kinda sorta toss out the race card, in a way where he can plausibly deny it.  Beautifully done, by a guy who hasn't been all that adept in other circumstances.

3.  I would like to be angry about it... but let's face it, this should have been expected.  It's the smart political ploy for the Dems, since there's no way they can beat Rubio in a three-way race.  Slick Willie has a personal connection with Meek, and has already carried the water for a similar attempt with Joe Sestak in the spring.  The White House is desperate to stem the loss of at least 6 seats in the Senate (likely estimate is between 7 and 9) by grabbing the GOP seat of Mel Martinez.  Charlie Crist would probably give Iran nuclear material if it would help him to win this election, so cutting Kendrick Meek off at the knees isn't unexpected.

4.  Meek's wife is now my candidate for most unlikely conservative hero of the midterms.  This despite the fact that she's completely nuts if she thinks her husband has a chance to win. 

5.  Bubba has now confirmed the story to CNN, which is pretty much the signal that the Dems are tossing Meek to the wolves.  Meek's getting killed by friendly fire since he chose not to give up.  Nice.

6.  The play is probably too late.  Rubio's office correctly points to the fact that tons of voters have already cast ballots; even if the polls are correct that Rubio's lead has narrowed to 7% in the last week, Crist would need to pull at least 48% of the remaining votes, and probably more, to get a win.  If Meek is still in the race, it's hard for me to believe his numbers will plummet below 10%, giving Crist little room for error. 

7.  Imagine if Meek decides to respond, per Allahpundit's suggestion, by dropping the race card himself.  Even better -- imagine if Meek follows the Sestak model and claims Clinton offered him a job to drop out and said the offer came from the White House. The House investigation of the Sestak situation next year will need to prepare some new subpoenas.  Imagine the number of lawyers that would be employed.  Do it, Congressman Meek -- you'll be creating more jobs than Obama's policies.

8.  Anyone else surprised at the intensity of the White House's fear of Marco Rubio?  Maybe we should start printing Rubio for President signs.

9.  Before someone asks, as slimy as all this is, I'm not sure the slime factor will adversely impact Crist enough to beat him all by itself.  People tend not to worry about such issues too much, although it's possible it wuld make a difference in a local race.

10.  Politico noted that Dems may need to worry about lowering African-American participation by sending Meek to the bunch.  Not a good thing when they're trying to grab the Governor's chair to be vacated by Crist and defending several House seats.

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Wednesday, October 27, 2010

Please Let It Be True

I think everyone on the right wants Barney Frank to lose, but none of us believe it will happen, which is a shame, because his challenger is a 35 year-old Marine Corps officer who used to run a $100 million robotics program.   The race is close enough that Frank's boyfriend is out heckling the challenger.  However, none of us think it will actually happen, even if the challenger, Sean Bielat, released internal polls showing he is within the margin of error.

Internal polls are inherently flawed, so it's worth taking it with a grain of salt.  But Allapundit comes up with a good analogy on why conservatives really want to believe the King of Fannie and Freddie is vulnerable...

An internal poll showing one of the architects of the subprime meltdown in mortal peril of losing is like hearing from a friend of a friend of a friend that the cutest girl in school digs you. Deep down you don’t really believe it, but you want to believe it so badly that you’re ready to tell everyone.
Hey, once in awhile, the friends were telling the truth, weren't they? Well, not my friends, but maybe one of you had a friend who was. In any case, let's hope the wave is big enough next week that it washes Barney Frank into retirement.

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The Left Starts To Descend Into Incoherence

You stay classy, Joy Behar.



Oh, wait, you never were classy. Or intelligent. Allahpundit's got a good point...
What makes it noteworthy is less the clip itself than what it portends for the next 168 hours: We are, after all, now seven short days away from Election Day, which means Refudiation Week has officially begun. And needless to say, as the reality of the wave crashes in, I suspect we’re going to see some mighty interesting coping mechanisms playing out among among liberals. Pelosi’s already entered some sort of Queeg-ian fugue state of denial, and last night on Twitter Olbermann was promising a 20-minute mega-special comment rant tomorrow about the tea party. By the end of the week I expect Bob Beckel to be weeping openly on-air and near-hourly references to 1933 Germany on MSNBC. And that’s just the next week; imagine what the reaction will be like next Wednesday after the results are in.
I'll worry about that when we get to next Wednesday. But here's hoping that we get there with the promise of sheer insanity from the Left intact.

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Saturday, October 23, 2010

I Wish I Had This Option Back in 2008

Mickey Kaus advocates for a real "none of the above" option on the ballot, as suggested by Dylan Ratigan, with some tweaks.  Interesting discussion, and since I generally favor anything that would create massive levels of chaos, I see some serious pluses in this approach.  Of course, I think Kaus and Ratigan should acknowledge that they stole the idea from Brewster's Millions.

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Thursday, October 21, 2010

Ich Bin Ein Tea Party

David Harsanyi's column on why people like him (and me) like Tea Party candidates is spot on.  More to the point, the desire to vote for someone like us is pretty powerful; it's why elitist Beltway snobs love the idea of voting for Barack Obama.

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Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Desperate Times Call For... Dirty Games

Well, it's a creative scheme, I'll grant the Democrats that...

Workers at Bucks County's voter registration office fielded 70 calls on Tuesday and dozens more this past week from residents worried they wouldn't be able to vote on Election Day.


The reason: a series of Democratic Party absentee ballot letters -- under the letterhead of the fictitious Pennsylvania Voter Assistance Office -- warning recipients that their ability to vote in November could be threatened.


"They are concerned because, number one they think it is from us, and number two they don't understand why they are receiving it," said Deena Dean, director of Bucks County's election office. "They don't understand why their participation in the upcoming election might be in jeopardy."


Republicans blasted the letters, with a spokesman calling them "deeply troubling."


Concerned about an "enthusiasm gap" with Republicans, Democrats are going to great lengths to urge their voters to cast ballots in the midterm election. In Bucks County, Democrats have a voter registration edge, but recent polls suggest 8th District Democratic U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy is trailing Republican Mike Fitzpatrick.


The Voter Assistance Office letters, spearheaded by the Bucks County Democratic Party, are part of the turnout effort.


The last of the three mailings warns the recipient that it is the "THIRD and FINAL notice.""By failing to return the enclosed documents, you may be placing your ability to participate in this year's general election at risk," the letter reads.
(hat tip: Jim Geraghty) Next up, the Democrats will have the New Black Panthers show up to "assist" voters in filling out ballots. Or they'll be sending us a scheme on how we can retrieve money from overseas, if only we fill out our absentee ballots for Democrats and send them in.

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When Kinda Sucking Is A Good Thing

I can't deny the logic of this column -- the GOP will win back control of Congress because they suck... less than the Democrats do.  Spectacular closing note...
People do remember how much the Republicans suck, and they know where it tops out … and that is nowhere near as bad as the Democrats are today. Like with the barking dog, it’s annoying, but you know it’s not going to cause the collapse of civilization as we know it. Not so with the zombie apocalypse; who knows how bad that could get if left to continue? Same with the Democrats and Obama; people have never dealt with anything this horrible their entire lives, and they aren’t that curious to see how much worse it can be.


So the Republicans kinda suck, and that’s why they’re going to win huge this November. Because in the land of epic, mega, ultra, apocalyptic levels of sucking, those who kinda suck are king. Or at least are going to win in a landslide.


Because once the zombie apocalypse is over, the annoying neighbor dog is going to be music to your ears.


For a little while, at least.
(hat tip: Instapundit) Tip to the GOP: Try not to suck as much this time, or there will be a third party before you know it.

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The Seperation of Church and State

Professor Bainbridge does a pretty good job of defending Christine O'Donnell.  The fact that Coons could not name four of the five freedoms guranteed by the First Amendment strikes me as more relevant, but I don't think anyone should be worried about this issue when voting in Delaware.

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Friday, October 15, 2010

Pretty Revealing

There's so much in the President's recent interview with Peter Baker, I don't know where to start.  But here's an excerpt which has several points that blow my mind...

While proud of his record, Obama has already begun thinking about what went wrong — and what he needs to do to change course for the next two years. He has spent what one aide called “a lot of time talking about Obama 2.0” with his new interim chief of staff, Pete Rouse, and his deputy chief of staff, Jim Messina. During our hour together, Obama told me he had no regrets about the broad direction of his presidency. But he did identify what he called “tactical lessons.” He let himself look too much like “the same old tax-and-spend liberal Democrat.” He realized too late that “there’s no such thing as shovel-ready projects” when it comes to public works. Perhaps he should not have proposed tax breaks as part of his stimulus and instead “let the Republicans insist on the tax cuts” so it could be seen as a bipartisan compromise.


Most of all, he has learned that, for all his anti-Washington rhetoric, he has to play by Washington rules if he wants to win in Washington. It is not enough to be supremely sure that he is right if no one else agrees with him. “Given how much stuff was coming at us,” Obama told me, “we probably spent much more time trying to get the policy right than trying to get the politics right. There is probably a perverse pride in my administration — and I take responsibility for this; this was blowing from the top — that we were going to do the right thing, even if short-term it was unpopular. And I think anybody who’s occupied this office has to remember that success is determined by an intersection in policy and politics and that you can’t be neglecting of marketing and P.R. and public opinion.”


That presumes that what he did was the right thing, a matter of considerable debate. The left thinks he did too little; the right too much. But what is striking about Obama’s self-diagnosis is that by his own rendering, the figure of inspiration from 2008 neglected the inspiration after his election. He didn’t stay connected to the people who put him in office in the first place. Instead, he simultaneously disappointed those who considered him the embodiment of a new progressive movement and those who expected him to reach across the aisle to usher in a postpartisan age. On the campaign trail lately, Obama has been confronted by disillusionment — the woman who was “exhausted” defending him, the mother whose son campaigned for him but was now looking for work. Even Shepard Fairey, the artist who made the iconic multihued “Hope” poster, says he’s losing hope.


Perhaps that should have come as no surprise. When Obama secured the Democratic nomination in June 2008, he told an admiring crowd that someday “we will be able to look back and tell our children that this was the moment when we began to provide care for the sick and good jobs to the jobless; this was the moment when the rise of the oceans began to slow and our planet began to heal; this was the moment when we ended a war and secured our nation and restored our image as the last, best hope on earth.”


I read that line to Obama and asked how his high-flying rhetoric sounded in these days of low-flying governance. “It sounds ambitious,” he agreed. “But you know what? We’ve made progress on each of those fronts.” He quoted Mario Cuomo’s line about campaigning in poetry and governing in prose. “But the prose and the poetry match up,” he said. “It would be very hard for people to look back and say, You know what, Obama didn’t do what he’s promised. I think they could say, On a bunch of fronts he still has an incomplete. But I keep a checklist of what we committed to doing, and we’ve probably accomplished 70 percent of the things that we talked about during the campaign. And I hope as long as I’m president, I’ve got a chance to work on the other 30 percent.”
I feel like I need to bullet point a rebuttal to just this small portion of the article.

1.  In the same paragraph, the guy talks about not wanting to be seen as just another tax and spend liberal, then says he should have tactically let the GOP push for tax cuts as part of the stimulus so he could compromise on it.  Huh?  If you don't want to be seen as a traditional tax and spend liberal, perhaps it would help if you, I don't know, cut spending and taxes.

2.  Again, the failure of the stimulus is seen as a failure in messaging.  Elsewhere in the article, Ed Rendell calls the stimulus successful but attacks the White House's messaging on it.  Gibbs says they haven't had a meeting where policy is considered a problem in 20 months.  But this is the point: they are either so insulated from reality that they don't get it, or they think that they can get away with a blatantly false argument.

The stimulus has not worked to accomplish the goals the President and his team originally set out.  When it was passed, the stimulus was supposed to keep unemployment from rising over 8 percent; instead, unemployment's been stuck between 9 and 10 percent for several months.  It's stunning to have the White House talk about a failure in messaging while the President admits that he didn't know that there's no such thing as a government shovel-ready project.  The failure here was the policy, not the messaging.  A restaurant can put a turd on a plate and call it gourmet food, but if a customer doesn't like the taste, you shouldn't blame the waiter for not presenting it correctly.

3.  Again, the reference to messaging annoys the crap out of me.  The President thinks he's been neglectful of PR, but we see him on every media outlet known to man.  Hell, it's probably easier to list news media where he hasn't popped up for an interview -- perhaps Cat Fancy hasn't done an Obama piece, but maybe that's coming for the holidays.  I get that this President believes in his powers of persuasion, but perhaps he needs to realize something -- if his power of persuasion is so great, then why can't he persuade people on the other side of the issue?  They're not all unreasonable -- hell, some of them voted for him.  The reason might be because they don't want to buy what he's selling, no matter what arguments he makes.

4.  The last two paragraphs make me worry for the long-term prospects for this administration.  Obama calls his high-flying rhetoric "ambitious", but than argues that he's making progress.  Dude, you talked about healing the Earth and stopping hte oceans from rising.  That's not ambitious, that's a friggin' fairy tale.  And if you truly believe you're making progress on such grandiose goals...

There was a great point made by someone the other day about how one of the major problems with government today is that it doesn't have concrete goals (wish I could find the post, but I'll paraphrase for now).  When you keep goals simple, people know what they're trying to accomplish: Build a highway system.  Win a war.  Put a man on the moon.

Bush was guilty of this as well.  But Obama's taken that problem and magnified it.  Look at the goals Obama's setting up there.  "Care for the sick"?  Does this mean that everyone who's ill gets every bit of treatment possible?  "Good jobs for the jobless"?  How do we know what a "good" job is?

Bottom line, I'm worried about an administration that doesn't get why it's losing ground.  I'm even more worried when they appear to think the only problem is that everyone else doesn't get their brilliance.

5.  There is a passage in the article where Obama meets with some historians who try to help him understand the Tea Party movement by analogy, and provide references to Know-Nothings in the 1850's, the Populists of the 1890's, and Charles Coughlin's backers in the 1930's.  Perhaps they called the wrong historians.

Take out Coughlin's anti-Semitism, and the latter two were essentially left-wing populist movements whose goals might have more in common with Obama than the Tea Party.  All three called for greater government involvement in American life, rather than less -- again, something shared with Obama.

More important -- look at each of those three examples, and realize that those three groups all more or less failed. There are such movements that experienced much greater success -- the most prominent being the original Republican Party in the 1850's, the Progressives during the first decade of the 20th century, and the civil rights movement of the 1960's.

The historians are offering Obama comfort food.  If Obama thinks the Tea Party is destined to fail like the first three examples, he probably won't take it seriously.  Maybe he will be right -- but it makes more sense to treat your opponents as serious critics than as likely failures.  And the failure to understand the Tea Party movement makes me think that the President's extraordinary 2008 connection with the electorate may never be recaptured.

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We're Not So Wild About Harry

Cool.  Harry Reid now thinks the surge worked

After we repeal healthcare, he'll probably tell us he pushed healthcare reform so we could repeal it and improve healthcare.

Let me be honest about this -- election night will not feel very good if we don't remove this weenie from office.  Even Democrats need to be embarrassed that this is the toxic idiot their party promotes as its Majority Leader in the Senate.  Put it another way: I may not like or agree with Mitch McConnell, but I don't actively cringe every time he opens his mouth.  If Democrats don't do that when Harry speaks, they probably stopped listening a long time ago. 

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Thursday, October 14, 2010

Karl Rove, Evil Genius

Let's see: Obama and the Democrats attack Karl Rove's American Crossroads group and the Chamber of Commerce.  The attacks have essentially backfired, with mainstream media outlets debunking it left and right, and Jake Tapper even comparing the White House to the crazy folks who think that Obama was born in Kenya.

And now, donations to Rove's group go up. So Obama can't even handle using what the Left would call McCarthyite tactics right.

Are we sure that the entire Obama Presidency isn't a Karl Rove plot designed to make people nostalgic for the Bush years, and eventually make people more likely to agree with cuts to government?

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Impeachment? Why?

Jon Chait seems to think that if the GOP wins control of the House, it will impeach Obama.  Jonah Goldberg offers him a $500 bet that it won't happen.  I tend to agree with Goldberg -- if Obama's approval ratings continue to slide, he's more valuable to the GOP in office leading up to 2012 than battling an impeachment trial where he becomes a victim.  I think Chait's trying to raise the alarm because he's trying to help wake up Democrats, and on what I'll henceforth call the "Dumb and Dumber" theory -- there's a chance, even if it's one in a million, and then he could waive around his prediction (or his computer) proclaiming his own genius.

Meanwhile, two questions.  First, does this mean Chait thinks Obama's perjured himself recently?  Second, if this did happen, would this mean that the GOP had impeached America's first two black Presidents (Clinton and Obama)?

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